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PETROL PİYASASINDA ÇANLAR KİMİN İÇİN ÇALIYOR? FATURA 1 TRİLYON DOLARA ÇIKACAK
GM TURİZM VE YÖNETİM DERGİSİ
135
Son günlerde 65 dolara doğru hamle yapsa da, petrol fiyatlarının 140 doları gördüğü zirve dönemine kıyasla sert düşük seyri izlemesi, uluslararası enerji piyasalarındaki yerleşik kuralları da değiştiriyor. “EnergyComment” adlı Alman araştırma merkezinin hazırladığı araştırmayı aktaran Der Spiegel dergisinin haberine göre, petrol fiyatları bu şekildeki seyrini sürdürürse, bu alandaki yatırımcıların 2015’teki kayıpları 1 trilyon doları bulacak. Bu da, daha az yeni yatırım demek, yatırımlarda daha fazla tedirginlik demek.
Rapora göre enerji yatırımcıları, geleceğe yönelik planladıkları pahalı projelerin finansmanı konusunda kaygılı.
Araştırmacıların elde ettikleri sonuçlara göre petrol fiyatlarının düşük seyir izlemesi, Arktika (Kuzey Buz Denizi) bölgesine yönelik yeni yatırımlar, sentetik ve biyolojik yakıt elde etmeye yönelik yatırımlar gibi uzun vadeli projelerde ciddi finansal kesintilere gidilmesine yol açtı.
Nedeni ilk kez, ekonomik kriz değil
Araştırmacılara göre petrol fiyatlarındaki bu büyük düşüş ilk kez bir ekonomik durgunluktan değil, küresel petrol piyasasındaki rekabetten kaynaklandı. Çünkü ABD üretimini arttırmak için bu alana büyük yatırımlar yaparken, OPEC ülkeleri de, arz fazlalığını dengeleyebilecek bir fon kısıtlamasına gitmedi.
EnergyComment uzmanı Steffen Bukold, OPEC ülkelerinin uzun vadede bu politikalarını değiştirmeleri gerektiğine dikkat çekiyor. Özellikle Suudi Arabistan’ın politikalarının kaygı yarattığını kaydediyor. Bukold, OPEC’in en büyük üreticisi olan bu ülkenin, düşük petrol fiyatlarını, rakiplerini iflasa sürükleme ve pazarda yeni paylar elde etme yönünde kullandığını belirtiyor. (Sputnik News)